BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Florida Atlantic
Class: 1A Class Rank: 121 Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 126.30
Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-7) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-9)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2024 Away L * 136.28 10 16 1A 78 ( 5- 7) Michigan St 9.98 -2.34 -15.98
2 09/07/2024 Home L * * 130.14 7 24 1A 52 (12- 2) Army 3.84 -1.13 -20.84
3 09/14/2024 Home W * 145.12 38 20 1A 118 ( 4- 8) Florida Int'l 18.83 -16.88 -0.83
4 09/21/2024 Away L * 109.51 14 48 1A 80 ( 9- 4) Connecticut -16.78 3.40 -17.22
5 09/28/2024 Home W 128.18 41 10 1B 103 ( 4- 8) Wagner 1.89 33.43 29.11
6 10/12/2024 Home L * * 129.24 37 41 1A 93 ( 6- 7) North Texas 2.94 -1.25 -6.94
7 10/19/2024 Away L * * 124.93 24 38 1A 90 ( 7- 6) Texas-San Antonio -1.37 7.54 -12.63
8 11/01/2024 Home L * * 111.73 21 44 1A 91 ( 7- 6) South Florida -14.56 -0.05 -8.44
9 11/07/2024 Away L * * 103.39 14 49 1A 92 ( 8- 5) East Carolina -22.91 -7.34 -12.09
10 11/16/2024 Away L * * 121.63 15 18 1A 125 ( 3- 9) Temple -4.67 -3.79 1.67
11 11/23/2024 Home L * * 114.05 27 39 1A 117 ( 5- 7) UNC-Charlotte -12.24 -2.09 0.24
12 11/30/2024 Away W * * 161.34 63 16 1A 133 ( 3- 9) Tulsa 35.05 4.20 11.95
Averages 126.30 25.9 30.2
Best game: 161.34 = 47 point win over Tulsa
Worst game: 103.39 = 35 point loss to East Carolina
Team stdev: 16.24